tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34928391.post5744943815528406346..comments2023-10-12T03:32:59.387-05:00Comments on Truncated thoughts: Statistician productivityzbicyclisthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10850387889082662189noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34928391.post-64682942869297742602009-12-24T08:18:23.040-06:002009-12-24T08:18:23.040-06:00I think you're right about underestimating unc...I think you're right about underestimating uncertainty being the most common error. That's a common Bayesian criticism of frequentist statistics, that the frequentists assume things are known that are not known and thus underestimate uncertainty. <br /><br />Have you seen Sam Savage's book Flaw of Averages? The main theme of the book is underestimating uncertainty, describing what can go wrong when a random quantity is replaced with its average.Johnhttp://www.johndcook.com/blognoreply@blogger.com